snacks
Member
FWIW I grew up in South Africa. Every time I go back there I get the feeling the streets are more crowded. There are also ****-tons of illegals there from other African countries now. Every other waiter seems to be from Zimbabwe. I think conducting a thorough census there is virtually impossible because the government really has no idea who is inside of its borders. Do you think the GIGO could work the other way too though, in that it might undercount population due to the simple inability to do the counting very effectively?
On a sidenote, I don't understand how unskilled day-laborers who make up a huge chunk of the population can afford to eat nowadays. 20 years ago, being a maid or a yard worker would pay enough weekly to buy weekly food staples, modest rent, electricity, water. Nowadays it covers maybe 2 days of food. Whatever the true population levels in African countries are, I don't see them doubling and tripling from here. Eat, what? Drink, what? If the calories of energy (wealth) aren't there in the first place, they can't be consumed.
South Africa is the only country that may be undercounting IMHO. As you mentioned, there's huge inflows of immigration from Zimbabwe and other failed bantu utopias. In general, there are far more incentives to overcount than undercount, especially from the standpoint of international aid and the way in which African leaders estimate their own prestige. Think of it this way: imagine a country DOES conduct a formal census, and asks a tribal leader how many people are in there village. Would you overestimate to make yourself look like a leader of more people and potentially a recipient of a greater amount of aid, or underestimate and gain literally nothing? Now extrapolate that on a national scale and you understand the psychology behind it all.