Perry Staltic
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- Joined
- Dec 14, 2020
- Messages
- 8,186
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Before the exodus it was already declining. Your graph looks to be ahead of official counts
Would make sense. Would not be surprised to see RAF flank Dnipro (Dneprovetrovsk) on the west and east (bypass Zaporozhe) to cut off that supply route to the east and isolate Zaporozhe (south of Dnipro on the Dnieper River) in the process. That would be absolutely devastating
View: https://twitter.com/ISkO1910211/status/1554937099115184131
Moscow future plans revealed! hahahah
View: https://www.reddit.com/r/YUROP/comments/wbqcm9/decolonization_of_europe_according_to_russian/
Looks like something a Serb/Russian made - "decolonization" for others except their 2 favorite empires
Most likely, no battle for Kherson will take place this year.
There is an opinion that all information releases about bread, famine, the battle for Kherson, conflicts between Zelensky and Zaluzhny and real shelling of bridges in the Kherson region, even some battles for small settlements there, are aimed at one thing, to get additional time to arm and train the Ukrainian army. For some reason, everyone forgets about Lend-Lease, which will start working no earlier than October, that is, what is being produced now will be purchased only in October and will end up in Ukraine.
The information about the current deliveries, and they are probably not small and several times more than announced, weapons to Ukraine are extremely scarce and this is being done deliberately, in fact, almost all the Ukrainian media reported about this about two, if not three months ago, that if at first it is necessary it was necessary to cover every minimal delivery, every rusty clunker and projectile delivered as military aid, to support morale, now there is no such need, it is obvious that Western partners do not abandon Ukraine and extra information about deliveries only harms. This point of view is logical.
Everything that is now being shown from the front, all the equipment and weapons that were destroyed or taken as trophies, is for the most part old weapons that Ukraine had before the conflict. The troops that hold the defense are also rather poorly armed and poorly trained, often this is territorial defense. That is, regular troops, well-equipped or new units that are not currently entering the battle, are accumulating and training. They are not enough forces to attack Kherson now, the risks of losing everything without getting anything are too high for Ukraine. Therefore, they go sketching, about the offensive. Just in case. It is obvious that the Russian Federation wants to make an agreement, life did not prepare Moscow for this.
But just in case, so that Russia doesn’t accidentally take some effective actions, doesn’t launch successful offensives somewhere else, for example, towards Odessa, they are deceiving, negotiating, they create the appearance of bargaining, they throw up goodies - like lifted sanctions on the trade in food, fertilizers. And gaining time in exchange.
The military industry in the West is being deployed, mobilized, Poland and Romania are getting armed. Now the task of the West is to hold out until autumn, by that time the Russian Federation will most likely only reach the borders of the Donetsk region. Then an even greater appearance of the negotiation process will begin, the front will stabilize, the Russian Federation will even begin to reap the laurels of success in terms of propaganda.
But the nightmare will begin next year. And the possible numbers of victims can be huge. Unfortunately, in my opinion, this conflict is only just a beginning.
There is always the chance something like this is in the planning. If the major Western Powers Are Series about defeating Russia militarily in Ukraine then something like this would be a cunning and effective way.The Why its probably better to escape from EE, if possible:
More fantasies of Ukrainian victory. They would need to train and equip a military of hundreds of thousands of soldiers, with an airforce and heavy weaponry. And a logistical capacity to support it. It's not happening.Why its probably better to escape from EE, if possible:
Ten more countries want to join the SCO: UAE, Syria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Myanmar, Cambodia, Nepal, Egypt, Armenia, Azerbaijan.
UAE asked to immediately grant them the status of a member of the SCO, bypassing the bureaucratic procedure, this issue will be considered at the summit in Samarkand on September 15-16.
What does it mean?
Since Russia and China serve as the bulk of SCO, this means the expansion of the military-political influence of the Big Two and its approaches to security in Eurasia and Africa, the tacit refusal of a number of players from the dominance of the Atlantic center and its approaches to security solutions,
SCO is a de facto prototype of a military-political alliance, the main goal of which is the internal security of its members and security between them - the expansion takes place against the backdrop of the consequences of Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, and this visit could be an additional trigger for the need to strengthen security in Eurasia, the United States is perceived as a factor instability in the growing region, perhaps even as an existential enemy of the countries of Eurasia, this is realized at an essential level by the new members of the alliance.
SCO is expanding after Pelosi's visit and expanding to those countries where China and Russia's influence is growing - so the visit did not show a "loss of face" for Beijing, this demonstrates the expansion of the SCO.
Myanmar, Cambodia and Nepal are countries with a high influence of the PRC, China is building legal mechanisms for maintaining security in these countries, in the light of the large-scale reorganization of the SCO RATS(Regional Anti-Terrorist Structure) - prototype of the SCO internal troops.
Government of Myanmar gains legitimacy through participation in the SCO - it is thus recognized by all SCO states, where the SCO may replace the UN institutions
Iran's membership in the SCO is also a catalyst - the SCO ceases to be an organization of Russia and China, which regulates a part of the spectrum of problems of the two countries in the zone of Central Asia, and becomes a pan-Eurasian structure.
In the case of the entry of the UAE, Syria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Egypt, the SCO becomes a security organization for the Middle East based on common approaches to the security of Russia and China.
After Armenia and Azerbaijan join the SCO, the SCO will become another regulator of the conflict in Artsakh (Karabakh), which meets the interests of Russia and the transit interests of China.
SCO is becoming a regulator of security issues within the framework of the Chinese One Belt, One Road project.
Apart from Russia and Belarus, there are no European participants in the SCO - it is possible that Serbia will join the organization after a round of SCO expansion.
At some stage, the SCO may act as a legitimizing organization for the DPR and LPR, if they retain the status of independent states.
Russia should expand its presence in the SCO RATS, raise the level of its representative in the SCO RATS and obtain the required amount of presence in this structure, including through the loyal states of Central Asia - Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan.
UPD: the actual beginning of the construction of a bipolar world, where the PRC is the hegemon, the Russian Federation is the sub-hegemon. If the Russian Federation closes the Ukrainian gestalt, shows itself well in terms of subjugating weak countries (African case), and is also able to crush the EU (not only economically, but also geo/politically), then we can safely say that Russia has become the winner.