Wall Street Journal claiming herd immunity by April

[Drareg]

An article from the WSJ today claiming herd immunity by April, not sure if this is a bait and switch. Either that or their concerned about advertising revenue, money is always the answer, they clearly couldn’t care less for human life going by the propaganda they normally publish.

Johns Hopkins doctor says US will have herd immunity by April because more than half have already been infected - Washington Examiner

The United States will reach a level of herd immunity to COVID-19 that will allow for a return to normal by April, according to Dr. Marty Makary, a professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health.In a Wall Street Journal op-ed, Makary noted that the number...

www.washingtonexaminer.com

"The United States will reach a level of herd immunity to COVID-19 that will allow for a return to normal by April, according to Dr. Marty Makary, a professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health.

In a Wall Street Journal op-ed, Makary noted that the number of COVID-19 cases is down 77% in the last six weeks. He claimed this is due to natural immunity among people who have been previously infected and the 15% of the population already vaccinated.

Depending on the estimate, herd immunity to the coronavirus is thought to be when 60% to 80% of the population have either been infected or vaccinated.

“As more people have been infected, most of whom have mild or no symptoms, there are fewer Americans left to be infected,” Makary wrote. “At the current trajectory, I expect Covid will be mostly gone by April, allowing Americans to resume normal life.”

Makary’s analysis depends on the number of people who have been infected. About 28 million people in the U.S. have been infected, about 8% of the population. Makary argued that the real number is much higher, possibly 55%, or about 182 million people.


Behind a paywall.

Opinion | We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April

Covid cases have dropped 77% in six weeks. Experts should level with the public about the good news.

www.wsj.com

 

[LA]

An article from the WSJ today claiming herd immunity by April, not sure if this is a bait and switch. Either that or their concerned about advertising revenue, money is always the answer, they clearly couldn’t care less for human life going by the propaganda they normally publish.

Johns Hopkins doctor says US will have herd immunity by April because more than half have already been infected - Washington Examiner

The United States will reach a level of herd immunity to COVID-19 that will allow for a return to normal by April, according to Dr. Marty Makary, a professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health.In a Wall Street Journal op-ed, Makary noted that the number...

www.washingtonexaminer.com

"The United States will reach a level of herd immunity to COVID-19 that will allow for a return to normal by April, according to Dr. Marty Makary, a professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health.

In a Wall Street Journal op-ed, Makary noted that the number of COVID-19 cases is down 77% in the last six weeks. He claimed this is due to natural immunity among people who have been previously infected and the 15% of the population already vaccinated.

Depending on the estimate, herd immunity to the coronavirus is thought to be when 60% to 80% of the population have either been infected or vaccinated.

“As more people have been infected, most of whom have mild or no symptoms, there are fewer Americans left to be infected,” Makary wrote. “At the current trajectory, I expect Covid will be mostly gone by April, allowing Americans to resume normal life.”

Makary’s analysis depends on the number of people who have been infected. About 28 million people in the U.S. have been infected, about 8% of the population. Makary argued that the real number is much higher, possibly 55%, or about 182 million people.


Behind a paywall.

Opinion | We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April

Covid cases have dropped 77% in six weeks. Experts should level with the public about the good news.

www.wsj.com

Reference link:

Opinion | We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April

Covid cases have dropped 77% in six weeks. Experts should level with the public about the good news.

www.wsj.com

We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April

Covid cases have dropped 77% in six weeks. Experts should level with the public about the good news.

By Marty Makary
Feb. 18, 2021 12:35 pm ET

Illustration: Martin Kozlowski

Amid the dire Covid warnings, one crucial fact has been largely ignored: Cases are down 77% over the past six weeks. If a medication slashed cases by 77%, we’d call it a miracle pill. Why is the number of cases plummeting much faster than experts predicted?

In large part because natural immunity from prior infection is far more common than can be measured by testing. Testing has been capturing only from 10% to 25% of infections, depending on when during the pandemic someone got the virus. Applying a time-weighted case capture average of 1 in 6.5 to the cumulative 28 million confirmed cases would mean about 55% of Americans have natural immunity.

Now add people getting vaccinated. As of this week, 15% of Americans have received the vaccine, and the figure is rising fast. Former Food and Drug Commissioner Scott Gottlieb estimates 250 million doses will have been delivered to some 150 million people by the end of March.

There is reason to think the country is racing toward an extremely low level of infection. As more people have been infected, most of whom have mild or no symptoms, there are fewer Americans left to be infected. At the current trajectory, I expect Covid will be mostly gone by April, allowing Americans to resume normal life.

Antibody studies almost certainly underestimate natural immunity. Antibody testing doesn’t capture antigen-specific T-cells, which develop “memory” once they are activated by the virus. Survivors of the 1918 Spanish flu were found in 2008—90 years later—to have memory cells still able to produce neutralizing antibodies.

Researchers at Sweden’s Karolinska Institute found that the percentage of people mounting a T-cell response after mild or asymptomatic Covid-19 infection consistently exceeded the percentage with detectable antibodies. T-cell immunity was even present in people who were exposed to infected family members but never developed symptoms. A group of U.K. scientists in September pointed out that the medical community may be under-appreciating the prevalence of immunity from activated T-cells.

Covid-19 deaths in the U.S. would also suggest much broader immunity than recognized. About 1 in 600 Americans has died of Covid-19, which translates to a population fatality rate of about 0.15%. The Covid-19 infection fatality rate is about 0.23%. These numbers indicate that roughly two-thirds of the U.S. population has had the infection.

In my own conversations with medical experts, I have noticed that they too often dismiss natural immunity, arguing that we don’t have data. The data certainly doesn’t fit the classic randomized-controlled-trial model of the old-guard medical establishment. There’s no control group. But the observational data is compelling.

I have argued for months that we could save more American lives if those with prior Covid-19 infection forgo vaccines until all vulnerable seniors get their first dose. Several studies demonstrate that natural immunity should protect those who had Covid-19 until more vaccines are available. Half my friends in the medical community told me: Good idea. The other half said there isn’t enough data on natural immunity, despite the fact that reinfections have occurred in less than 1% of people—and when they do occur, the cases are mild.

But the consistent and rapid decline in daily cases since Jan. 8 can be explained only by natural immunity. Behavior didn’t suddenly improve over the holidays; Americans traveled more over Christmas than they had since March. Vaccines also don’t explain the steep decline in January. Vaccination rates were low and they take weeks to kick in.

My prediction that Covid-19 will be mostly gone by April is based on laboratory data, mathematical data, published literature and conversations with experts. But it’s also based on direct observation of how hard testing has been to get, especially for the poor. If you live in a wealthy community where worried people are vigilant about getting tested, you might think that most infections are captured by testing. But if you have seen the many barriers to testing for low-income Americans, you might think that very few infections have been captured at testing centers. Keep in mind that most infections are asymptomatic, which still triggers natural immunity.

Many experts, along with politicians and journalists, are afraid to talk about herd immunity. The term has political overtones because some suggested the U.S. simply let Covid rip to achieve herd immunity. That was a reckless idea. But herd immunity is the inevitable result of viral spread and vaccination. When the chain of virus transmission has been broken in multiple places, it’s harder for it to spread—and that includes the new strains.

Herd immunity has been well-documented in the Brazilian city of Manaus, where researchers in the Lancet reported the prevalence of prior Covid-19 infection to be 76%, resulting in a significant slowing of the infection. Doctors are watching a new strain that threatens to evade prior immunity. But countries where new variants have emerged, such as the U.K., South Africa and Brazil, are also seeing significant declines in daily new cases. The risk of new variants mutating around the prior vaccinated or natural immunity should be a reminder that Covid-19 will persist for decades after the pandemic is over. It should also instill a sense of urgency to develop, authorize and administer a vaccine targeted to new variants.

Some medical experts privately agreed with my prediction that there may be very little Covid-19 by April but suggested that I not to talk publicly about herd immunity because people might become complacent and fail to take precautions or might decline the vaccine. But scientists shouldn’t try to manipulate the public by hiding the truth. As we encourage everyone to get a vaccine, we also need to reopen schools and society to limit the damage of closures and prolonged isolation. Contingency planning for an open economy by April can deliver hope to those in despair and to those who have made large personal sacrifices.

Dr. Makary is a professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health, chief medical adviser to Sesame Care, and author of “The Price We Pay.”
--------------------------------------------------------------
Appeared in the February 19, 2021, print edition.

Links appearing in the article above:

Sweden’s Karolinska Institute found

Robust T Cell Immunity in Convalescent Individuals with Asymptomatic or Mild COVID-19

SARS-CoV-2-specific memory T cells will likely prove critical for long-term immune protection against COVID-19. Here, we systematically mapped the fun…

www.sciencedirect.com

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Download : Download high-res image (201KB)

https://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S0092867420310084-fx1_lrg.jpg

A group of U.K. scientists in September

Are we underestimating seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2?

Current antibody tests fail to identify people who had mild infections Testing for severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which causes covid-19, is complex and politically sensitive. Seroprevalence studies use antibodies as markers of pathogen exposure to estimate the proportion...

www.bmj.com

reinfections have occurred in less than 1% of people—and when they do occur, the cases are mild.

Past COVID-19 infection provides some immunity but people may still carry and transmit virus

Study finds past coronavirus (COVID-19) infection provides some immunity for at least 5 months, but people may still carry and transmit the virus.

www.gov.uk

Herd immunity has been well-documented in the Brazilian city of Manaus, where researchers in the Lancet reported the prevalence of prior Covid-19 infection to be 76%, resulting in a significant slowing of the infection.

Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, despite high seroprevalence

After initially containing severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), many European and Asian countries had a resurgence of COVID-19 consistent with a large proportion of the population remaining susceptible to the virus after the first epidemic wave.1 By contrast, in Manaus...

www.thelancet.com

 

[LA]

An article from the WSJ today claiming herd immunity by April, not sure if this is a bait and switch. Either that or their concerned about advertising revenue, money is always the answer, they clearly couldn’t care less for human life going by the propaganda they normally publish.

I am afraid for this doctor. I hope he has a body-guard. Yes, it might be as you noted he could have written the article to help market Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health.

I agree with the many who feel that C-19 is a plandemic for Agenda ID2020 and that the evil elites are dumping the virus into the air (contrails etc) - we need to pray for the safety of this doctor and all those who are pushing back!

 

[Steed]

Thank you for posting, there are lots of gems in this article that the one who understands human biology know but those who don’t, don’t. Proof always feels good, I particularly like the one from Manaus.

In terms if herd immunity, I would also look in the Belgium as a great example, with several months of 1/10 new cases based on the max once reaching 6-7% reported cases.

 

[Unknownuser]

In a Wall Street Journal op-ed, Makary noted that the number of COVID-19 cases is down 77% in the last six weeks. He claimed this is due to natural immunity among people who have been previously infected and the 15% of the population already vaccinated.

No. It is due to Biden got placed. Goals achieved. WHO changed the testing procedure on January 20th. Cases started to drop massively. Biden hero of Nation fighting covid successfully. Go on with the plan. Middle east is heating up again. North Korea starts to be "a treat to the world" again.

 

[KTownSatfats]

No. It is due to Biden got placed. Goals achieved. WHO changed the testing procedure on January 20th. Cases started to drop massively. Biden hero of Nation fighting covid successfully. Go on with the plan. Middle east is heating up again. North Korea starts to be "a treat to the world" again.

What?

 

[LA]

No. It is due to Biden got placed. Goals achieved. WHO changed the testing procedure on January 20th. Cases started to drop massively. Biden hero of Nation fighting covid successfully. Go on with the plan. Middle east is heating up again. North Korea starts to be "a treat to the world" again.

yep

 

[Drareg]

No. It is due to Biden got placed. Goals achieved. WHO changed the testing procedure on January 20th. Cases started to drop massively. Biden hero of Nation fighting covid successfully. Go on with the plan. Middle east is heating up again. North Korea starts to be "a treat to the world" again.

Back to normal for the american empire, the council on foreign relations done their job creating hysteria for 4 years.
China is the next big threat, the heroic captain America must save the Chinese from their evil rulers, some folks will get tortured and die but thats the american way, collateral damage.

Some examples of the empires logic below-
- no lives lost are acceptable when it comes to covid but vaccine deaths are necessary and collateral damage.
-Sadam Husain was killing his people, America needed to save them, America bombed the water supply and electrical grid and are responsible 500,000 kids dying in Iraq, millions more have been killed by America.
-black folks in America claim they are oppressed, black American soldier’s help sack libya and cause anarchy, thousands of Africans are being used as slaves there now.

 

[KTownSatfats]

Exactly. Really, it’s terrifying how we’ve gotten used to this vile twisted logic.

 

[Unknownuser]

What?

The day Biden got innagurated the WHO changed the PCR Test cycles from 40+ times down to the 25 cycles like it should be for PCR tests. The 40+ run through cycles were causing millions of fake infected "cases". Just as needed to do the election fraud. It was another fantastic plan. Now they placed their own man in the white house back again and even call him a hero for fighting Covid effectively. While he did nothing. Even worse than that, they now can say "see, masks and vaccines are working". And people will buy it. Because 99.99% never heared about PCR Test cycles.

And about the rest. Trump made many peace contracts in his 4 years. Middle east. Israel. North Korea. Puppet Biden is reversing all that. 2nd day Biden came into white house, one of the biggest car bombs in Iraq exploded. While it was 4 years quiet. Now in the news they start to say Isis is getting stronger than ever before.

Just wait for new false flag terror attacks. "We have to sent our troops to help them". Just like @Drareg described everything perfectly. And Bill is already making his propaganda on TV saying in the future there will be "terror attacks with bio weapons". Be prepared.

 

[supercoolguy]

The day Biden got innagurated the WHO changed the PCR Test cycles from 40+ times down to the 25 cycles like it should be for PCR tests. The 40+ run through cycles were causing millions of fake infected "cases". Just as needed to do the election fraud. It was another fantastic plan. Now they placed their own man in the white house back again and even call him a hero for fighting Covid effectively. While he did nothing. Even worse than that, they now can say "see, masks and vaccines are working". And people will buy it. Because 99.99% never heared about PCR Test cycles.

And about the rest. Trump made many peace contracts in his 4 years. Middle east. Israel. North Korea. Puppet Biden is reversing all that. 2nd day Biden came into white house, one of the biggest car bombs in Iraq exploded. While it was 4 years quiet. Now in the news they start to say Isis is getting stronger than ever before.

Just wait for new false flag terror attacks. "We have to sent our troops to help them". Just like @Drareg described everything perfectly. And Bill is already making his propaganda on TV saying in the future there will be "terror attacks with bio weapons". Be prepared.

People think they voted in a Democracy dispite N.Pukeloski saying. Trumps leaving office wheather he knows it or not. People think all this hysteria is a conicidence while ignoring intuition combine with information right in front of them. Such as the sheer obsudity that ALL these extreame events happened at once? Meanwhile.....Look-Look-Over here Monkey Look.

 

[KTownSatfats]

The day Biden got innagurated the WHO changed the PCR Test cycles from 40+ times down to the 25 cycles like it should be for PCR tests. The 40+ run through cycles were causing millions of fake infected "cases". Just as needed to do the election fraud. It was another fantastic plan. Now they placed their own man in the white house back again and even call him a hero for fighting Covid effectively. While he did nothing. Even worse than that, they now can say "see, masks and vaccines are working". And people will buy it. Because 99.99% never heared about PCR Test cycles.

And about the rest. Trump made many peace contracts in his 4 years. Middle east. Israel. North Korea. Puppet Biden is reversing all that. 2nd day Biden came into white house, one of the biggest car bombs in Iraq exploded. While it was 4 years quiet. Now in the news they start to say Isis is getting stronger than ever before.

Just wait for new false flag terror attacks. "We have to sent our troops to help them". Just like @Drareg described everything perfectly. And Bill is already making his propaganda on TV saying in the future there will be "terror attacks with bio weapons". Be prepared.

Thank you. Readable and understandable, if terrifying.

 

[yerrag]

No rejoicing here too.

The feeling of a great foreboding is inescapable. When things seem to get better, it is merely a calm before a storm. It is a tired old story. Another deep fake? Another spin. Or another round of censorship.

Not science driven. Never truth driven. All politics driven. Coordinated. Simulated.

Doubling down on the wrong things. And fixing it by making it worse. Show run by the same multi-awarded gaslighters and continue to be. The golden goose been slain many times over. The golden eggs yet keep being laid as if reality matters.

The die-off accelerates even as the helter skelter primes up as the critical mass for disintegration is eventually realized. Literal zombies pepper the landscape.

 

[Drareg]

No rejoicing here too.

The feeling of a great foreboding is inescapable. When things seem to get better, it is merely a calm before a storm. It is a tired old story. Another deep fake? Another spin. Or another round of censorship.

Not science driven. Never truth driven. All politics driven. Coordinated. Simulated.

Doubling down on the wrong things. And fixing it by making it worse. Show run by the same multi-awarded gaslighters and continue to be. The golden goose been slain many times over. The golden eggs yet keep being laid as if reality matters.

The die-off accelerates even as the helter skelter primes up as the critical mass for disintegration is eventually realized. Literal zombies pepper the landscape.

 

[Perry Staltic]

The day Biden got innagurated the WHO changed the PCR Test cycles from 40+ times down to the 25 cycles

Can you please direct me to where this is documented. I tried looking previously when I first heard something to this effect, but couldn't find anything.