Ukraine Crisis

[Peachy]

This is why they have to invade southern Ukraine south of the Dniester Estuary that borders Moldova and Romania. There can't be much defense there.

What do you think is the main reason they pulled out right now? Too hard to hold for the moment, or the grain issue? (Or both)

 

[Peachy]

This is so exciting for him. That’s how he was able to remember all the numbers

Are they making big promises bc they know defeat is imminent and want to look good, knowing they won’t actually have to deliver?

As Brian the New Atlas guy says, you can’t create a cohesive fighting force out of thin air.

 

[Perry Staltic]

What do you think is the main reason they pulled out right now? Too hard to hold for the moment, or the grain issue? (Or both)

They were getting hammered too hard with new western long-range artillery. It's impossible to hold until they remediate that problem.

 

[Peachy]

I’m still deliberating


View: https://twitter.com/pelmenipusha/status/1542617427024007170?s=21&t=Qi96dMeBnTir_15DxsR-Rw


View: https://twitter.com/witte_sergei/status/1542616176554934272?s=21&t=Qi96dMeBnTir_15DxsR-Rw

 

[Perry Staltic]

These guys sound like the Babylon Bee. They must sit around smoking pot or something to come up with this stuff. "Staunch but limited Ukrainian defense" "to force the Russian offensive to culminate prematurely."


View: https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1541945684877877249

 

[Peachy]

They were getting hammered too hard with new western long-range artillery. It's impossible to hold until they remediate that problem.

Ok. That’s what I thought after looking at that one diagram again - with the weapons & snake island. You totally called that.

 

[Perry Staltic]

@Peachy you wondered what heat flares do. I'm assuming the manpads missed off to the side because that's where the flares were launched. We can't see if flares were fired before the first miss, but I think it's safe to assume they were because it went about where they would have been. These helicopters have an audible to warn the pilot when it detects manpads


View: https://twitter.com/Taurevanime/status/1542555967539249155

 

[Perry Staltic]

This is incredible. Missile caught on video right before it hit factory across the street from shopping mall that caught fire from explosion debris. This thing carries a 1000 kg warhead.


View: https://twitter.com/Taurevanime/status/1542540862651080710

 

[Peachy]

@Peachy you wondered what heat flares do. I'm assuming the manpads missed off to the side because that's where the flares were launched. We can't see if flares were fired before the first miss, but I think it's safe to assume they were because it went about where they would have been. These helicopters have an audible to warn the pilot when it detects manpads


View: https://twitter.com/Taurevanime/status/1542555967539249155

Amazing footage!! The level of courage and focus this takes.

 

[Perry Staltic]

This is what Russia was having to deal with on Snake island. The howitzer in the video is a CAESAR donated by France, and not the one mentioned in the post.


View: https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1542448048550420480

 

[Perry Staltic]

This is incredible. Missile caught on video right before it hit factory across the street from shopping mall that caught fire from explosion debris. This thing carries a 1000 kg warhead.


View: https://twitter.com/Taurevanime/status/1542540862651080710

That missile btw is 38 feet long. You can see its shadow on the roof. Massive. The Russians really wanted to make sure that factory and everything in it were destroyed

 

[Peachy]

This is what Russia was having to deal with on Snake island. The howitzer in the video is a CAESAR donated by France, and not the one mentioned in the post.


View: https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1542448048550420480

They’re so excited about this yet it sounds like they won’t be able to set foot on the island.

 

[Perry Staltic]

Lysichansk getting attacked from all sides. UAF is fleeing Lysichansk to Siversk under Russian artillery fire, but it looks like RAF is already making a move on Siversk to keep them from establishing new defenses there.


View: https://twitter.com/Levi_godman/status/1542638571248652288


View: https://twitter.com/Levi_godman/status/1542619255950217216

 

[Peachy]

Your suffering is purposeful. It’s heroic!


View: https://twitter.com/rwapodcast/status/1542692662175727616?s=21&t=zdb12NhxzczmIm3oCcSeRw

 

[rockarolla]

Since February 24, RU Armed Forces have accumulated several interesting episodes with the use of unique weapons. Some of them are definitely worth taking apart.

The first and one of the most noteworthy on the list is the work of the UR-77 demining machine at the end of April against the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Rubizhne. This weapon has been used before, but such shooting rarely hit the camera. The peculiarity of the Meteorite, is that inside the sealed cord there are several hundred kilograms of explosives that can be placed in a 5x5 meter square using an exhaust rocket, which makes it ideal in urban environments.

The SVO in Ukraine is also notable for the first combat use of "305" guided missiles from the Hermes-A complex. This is actually the first missile with multi-channel guidance for helicopters, capable of hitting targets at a distance of 25 km. With the help of "305", helicopters can destroy enemy positions and equipment behind the back of the main forces. These missiles were successfully used, in particular, during the cleansing of the suburbs of Severodonetsk from the UA forces. The use was largely experimental, but quite successful.

In the same place in Severodonetsk, tank support combat vehicles (BMPT) were used for the first time in a battle with UA tanks. It is noteworthy that BMPTs were used at night as a technique with an increased level of situational awareness. BMPT crews worked from long distances - at least 5 km. Partly, thanks to these machines, it was possible to quickly occupy the quarters of the city from the northeast and east, and then push the UA forces first into the industrial zone, then drive them to Lisichansk (which is also being cleared now).

A separate and unsolvable problem for the Armed Forces of Ukraine was the use of the Msta-S + Krasnopol and Orlan drones. With the help of UAVs, Russian army learned to open the headquarters and parking areas of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and the firing range of a guided projectile, according to some reports, in real conditions turned out to be higher than the calculated and known to the public. Krasnopol helped to reduce the time to actually hit the target. Under normal conditions (with the use of observation equipment or the work of advanced gunners), from 6 to 8 shells are needed to zero a target at position. Adjustable active-reactive ammunition reduces this procedure by six to eight times - down to one shot. This approach deprives the enemy of the opportunity to change position.

The most little-studied part is the work of strategic aviation and this side of combat work has not yet been disclosed, i.e. launches of Kh-101 cruise missiles carried by Tu-160 and Tu-95MS, for the first time:

Kh-101 / Kh-102 | Missile Threat

The Kh-101 / Kh-102 is a line of conventional and nuclear capable air-launched cruise missiles (ALCM) developed and deployed by Russia. A stealthy missile, the Kh-101/-102 is designed to defeat air defense systems by flying at low, terrain-hugging altitudes to avoid radar systems. The Kh-101...

missilethreat.csis.org

Also, apparently T90Ms were deployed into action(although there are still rumors, that Russians keep them for the upcoming conflict with NATO forces):


View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZRc-D4GQdvg

 

[Birdie]

"Talk about China, Russia and Iran being sooooo isolated. Well, after all we’re deep into the metaverse spectrum, where things are the opposite of what they seem.

Moscow’s obstinacy in not following Washington’s Plan A to start a pan-European war is rattling Atlanticist nerves to the core. So right after the G7 summit significantly held at a former Nazi sanatorium, enter NATO’s, in full warmongering regalia."
Pepe Escobar

You’re either with us or you’re a 'systemic challenge'

https://www.strategic-culture.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Pepe2906-930x520.jpg Fast but not furious, the Global South is revving up. The key takeaway of the BRICS+ summit in Beijing, held in sharp contrast with the G7 in the Bavarian Alps, is that both West Asia’s Iran and South America’s...

www.unz.com

 

[Regina]

New Eucom Leader Assumes Command Amid War in Ukraine

Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III presided as Air Force Gen. Tod Wolters passed command of U.S. European Command to Army Gen. Christopher Cavoli in a ceremony at Patch Barracks, Germany.

www.defense.gov

 

[Peachy]

Hahaha. But really, a little Irish liberation might not be the worst thing?


View: https://twitter.com/rwapodcast/status/1542909734499540993?s=21&t=r1qWfRT20cz2l-b7qWCwMg

 

[Perry Staltic]

View: https://twitter.com/carnalcrow/status/1542933696738648065

 

[Peachy]

View: https://twitter.com/lucygatsby/status/1542953991067340802?s=21&t=r1qWfRT20cz2l-b7qWCwMg


View: https://twitter.com/nemo70488915/status/1543015764965441536?s=21&t=r1qWfRT20cz2l-b7qWCwMg