Study Shows Lockdowns Cause More Infection Than Not

[ecstatichamster]

this should be getting a lot more publicity. They took marines, young men in super controlled conditions. One group were put into intense lockdown, double masking, everything super careful. The other group wasn't.

The group in super lockdown soon tested positive for Covid-19 (almost always without symptoms) 2%, but the group who were not in super lockdown had a LOWER infection rate.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2029717
RESULTS
A total of 1848 recruits volunteered to participate in the study; within 2 days after arrival on campus, 16 (0.9%) tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, 15 of whom were asymptomatic. An additional 35 participants (1.9%) tested positive on day 7 or on day 14. Five of the 51 participants (9.8%) who tested positive at any time had symptoms in the week before a positive qPCR test. Of the recruits who declined to participate in the study, 26 (1.7%) of the 1554 recruits with available qPCR results tested positive on day 14. No SARS-CoV-2 infections were identified through clinical qPCR testing performed as a result of daily symptom monitoring. Analysis of 36 SARS-CoV-2 genomes obtained from 32 participants revealed six transmission clusters among 18 participants. Epidemiologic analysis supported multiple local transmission events, including transmission between roommates and among recruits within the same platoon.

CONCLUSIONS
Among Marine Corps recruits, approximately 2% who had previously had negative results for SARS-CoV-2 at the beginning of supervised quarantine, and less than 2% of recruits with unknown previous status, tested positive by day 14. Most recruits who tested positive were asymptomatic, and no infections were detected through daily symptom monitoring. Transmission clusters occurred within platoons. (Funded by the Defense Health Agency and others.)

 

[tankasnowgod]

this should be getting a lot more publicity. They took marines, young men in super controlled conditions. One group were put into intense lockdown, double masking, everything super careful. The other group wasn't.

The group in super lockdown soon tested positive for Covid-19 (almost always without symptoms) 2%, but the group who were not in super lockdown had a LOWER infection rate.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2029717
RESULTS
A total of 1848 recruits volunteered to participate in the study; within 2 days after arrival on campus, 16 (0.9%) tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, 15 of whom were asymptomatic. An additional 35 participants (1.9%) tested positive on day 7 or on day 14. Five of the 51 participants (9.8%) who tested positive at any time had symptoms in the week before a positive qPCR test. Of the recruits who declined to participate in the study, 26 (1.7%) of the 1554 recruits with available qPCR results tested positive on day 14. No SARS-CoV-2 infections were identified through clinical qPCR testing performed as a result of daily symptom monitoring. Analysis of 36 SARS-CoV-2 genomes obtained from 32 participants revealed six transmission clusters among 18 participants. Epidemiologic analysis supported multiple local transmission events, including transmission between roommates and among recruits within the same platoon.

CONCLUSIONS
Among Marine Corps recruits, approximately 2% who had previously had negative results for SARS-CoV-2 at the beginning of supervised quarantine, and less than 2% of recruits with unknown previous status, tested positive by day 14. Most recruits who tested positive were asymptomatic, and no infections were detected through daily symptom monitoring. Transmission clusters occurred within platoons. (Funded by the Defense Health Agency and others.)

And it actually got published in NEJM. Fantasstic.

Of course, the results of this study should give anyone who still believes in this idea that "lockdown" or "quarantine" works. After all, if THE MARINES can't make this concept work to "reduce the spread," how in the world do they expect it to work in the far less disciplined general population?

Although it's not like those people believe in actual facts, science or studies, anyway. Give them propaganda and prophecy (by prophets with terrible track records, like Neil Ferguson), and they are happy.

 

[BearWithMe]

Awesome find!

Also, this is interesting

Most recruits who tested positive were asymptomatic, and no infections were detected through daily symptom monitoring. Transmission clusters occurred within platoons. (Funded by the Defense Health Agency and others.)

Doesn't sound like the deadliest virus of all times

 

[Sinlinead]

For comparison: On day 14, 24 (1,3%) of the 1848 quarantined recruits tested positive, vs. 26 (1,7 %) of the 1554 not-participating recruits.
Figure S1. https://www.nejm.org/doi/suppl/10.1056/NEJMoa2029717/suppl_file/nejmoa2029717_appendix.pdf