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In the video linked in the first post Dr. Wittkowski says that social distancing in order to contain an infectious respiratory disease is not the way to go. Better is to protect the most vulnerable and let the virus circulate among the low-risk people until the incidence is high enough to initiate “herd immunity” (which takes a month or two months). To close schools is a major mistake; no way to reach herd immunity without the kids. Containment measures flatten the curve, but prolong the epidemic, and there is the risk of a rebound (second wave).
If you get pneumonia, see a doctor soon. In case of a secondary bacterial infection, antibiotics are best taken early.
He says, there is nothing to be scared about. This is a flu epidemic like every other flu. Maybe a bit more severe, but nothing that is fundamentally different from the flus that we've seen in other years. Spending more time indoors only keeps the virus healthy.
Here is a paper written by Wittkowsky (a study on a preprint server):
The first three months of the COVID-19 epidemic: Epidemiological evidence for two separate strains of SARS-CoV-2 viruses spreading and implications for prevention strategies Two epidemics of COVID-19
The theoretical discussion about the "window of opportunity for intervention" is interesting.
Sadly he doesn't discuss the lack of data regarding the number of tests. Without that information all these "time-course by country" graphs have little value. In Germany, for example, the number of tests per week recently has tripled from one week to the next and there were still capacities for more tests.
.....
I thinks that with constantly increasing numbers of tests we are only going to see a decrease of newly infected when
Until that happens we are supposedly "still in the beginning of the epidemic".
- the number of tests can't be increased any more or
- the epidemic is approaching its end (thus they are unable to find enough infected people no matter how many they test).