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Well, total mortality in Italy and Spain has actually exceeded previous flu seasons now.
EURO MOMO
They look about the same as 2018Well, total mortality in Italy and Spain has actually exceeded previous flu seasons now.
EURO MOMO
They are both notably higher than 2018, especially Spain, but there is also a lag of a few weeks in the data so I think it will go higher still. This is even though both of these countries imposed strict lockdowns almost a month ago.They look about the same as 2018
It's also notably lower in some countries. Germany, Finland, Estonia... Even Sweden, which has taken no quarantine measures, seems to be about average.They are both notably higher than 2018, especially Spain, but there is also a lag of a few weeks in the data so I think it will go higher still. This is even though both of these countries imposed strict lockdowns almost a month ago.
I think a few weeks ago you could still argue that this was nothing special and there was no evidence that it would be worse than the normal flu. This is changing now, also with the evolving understanding that the disease itself is unlike any normal cold or flu viruses we usually deal with.
Germany and Sweden had a slow start but their daily death counts have increased a lot in the past week, will take a few weeks to see where they end up. France, UK, Belgium and the Netherlands seem set to surpass previous flu seasons by next week though.It's also notably lower in some countries. Germany, Finland, Estonia... Even Sweden, which has taken no quarantine measures, seems to be about average.
We'll see. I'll believe it when I see actual data.Germany and Sweden had a slow start but their daily death counts have increased a lot in the past week, will take a few weeks to see where they end up. France, UK, Belgium and the Netherlands seem set to surpass previous flu seasons by next week though.